New Hampshire May Indicate, Among Other Things That

1. I am a very stupid man.
2. Clinton is one tough candidate who is underestimated at your own peril.
3. Like with Tom Bradley in the 1982 California Governor's race and Harold Washington in the 1983 Chicago Mayor's race, white people often tend to not tell the truth about whether or not they support black candidates in polls. To paraphrase Gloria Steinem, black people are never frontrunners either. Big leads in polls for blacks often do not actually hold up at the ballot box.

Iowa

My prediction:

Obama - 32%
Edwards - 25%
Clinton - 23%

Huckabee - 27%
Romney - 25%
McCain - 17%

Update:
OBAMA!

How did he win?
- RECORD TURNOUT - 236,000 vs. 124,000 for the Democratic caucus in 2004
- Independent Voters
- Voters under 45, especially those under 30
- Oprah?

The local blogosphere weighs in:

Library Chronicles
Adrastros
YRHT
WCBF